Robert Taylor’s Xyber 9 Reviewed
Nov0
In this review of Xyber 9, I will examine the Xyber 9 stock forecasting program developed by Robert Taylor, and offered online through a monthly membership site. The software program is based on Robert Taylor’s research showing a relationship between gravitational fluctuations and stock market movements, a finding which apparently also got him a Nobel Prize nomination in Economics.
You may question how gravitational forces have anything to do with the stock market, however, Taylor’s research does show a strong connection between the two. In fact, the research he conducted demonstrated that every significant high and low in the market over the last century has had an inverse relation to the highs and lows in tidal activity. From this finding, Taylor developed a model that predicts future stock market direction based on expected gravitational fluctuations, and Xyber 9 is the result of this research.
For those inclined to take a closer look at the research, Taylor has written a fictional book called Paradigm, which outlines the research behind his theories. Fortunately, people who are not interested in the fictional tale can skip to the paper at the end of the book which details Taylor’s findings.”Taylor’s Law” describes the correlation Taylor found between the stock market and gravitational fluctuations, and states the following.
“The financial market’s expansion and contraction is quantitatively in direct correlation to the increases and decreases in gravitational fluctuations experienced at the human level. Increases in market price are in direct response to decreases in gravitational forces; and, decreases in market price are in direct response to the increases in gravitational forces.”
All this may be quite fascinating, but the real question is whether the model, and more specifically whether the Xyber 9 software can indeed predict stock prices. The Xyber 9 site does post all past forecasts, so you can see for yourself. Overall, the Xyber 9 program does seem to perform better than what believers of the random walk theory would expect. But it is far from perfect.
As a former subscriber of Xyber 9, one frustrating thing was trying to replicate the performance posted on the site.Taylor’s calculations of gains and losses tend to be unrealistic, as he takes the high/low of the forecast day, and compares it against the high/low of the exit day. This means that for long positions, the low of the first day would be assumed to be the entry point, and the high of the last day would be assumed to be the exit point.In the real world, no investor could replicate this as it would require them to buy or sell at precise high or low points, and this means that the results you get will be lower than what the site posts, especially after slippage and commissions are factored in.
But despite this, Taylor’s forecasts often do beat the market by quite a bit. During the market mayhem that unfolded at the end of 2008, the Xyber 9 program did seem to perform better than a traditional buy and hold strategy. However, the software did give out signals that went against several major moves, so its reliability is still not high enough for me to trust it too much.
So in conclusion, although I think Taylor has unveiled an interesting relationship between gravitational fluctuations and stock prices, I believe he may need to tweak his program just a bit more to make the Xyber 9 program truly powerful. Right now, it shows lots of promise, but its accuracy is still not high enough for me to be comfortable with the signals, especially during a volatile market.
The following site offers more information on Xyber 9, as well as a full Xyber 9 review article.
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A short guide to Investing in the Oil Market with Online Spread Betting
Oct0
The last century has shown that many have made their fortune and generated great wealth just as the late great billionaire J. Paul Getty did from black gold.
The ever increasing demands on oil supply to power today’s energy needing consumer, continues to grow globally for oil as the energy source of choice for cars, heating, machinery etc. Countries experiencing significant growth cycles such as Russia, Brazil, India and China continue with their increased consumption to fuel their growth ambitions, placing even more high demand on the finite oil resources.
While there are still significant oil resources that lay untapped in areas such as Canada/Alaska as extraction of the oil in these areas is only economically viable at the much higher oil prices seen in the past few years.
The impact in 2008 for the retail consumer was very well covered by the world media and felt hard by us all globally as the price of oil soared from $85.42 as of Janurary 22nd 2008 to $147.27 in July 11th 2008, at that time many industry experts thought oil would continue the established trend and trade at $200 a barrel. The credit crunch and resulting cycle of wealth destruction globally during the second half of 2008 impacted demand for black gold with the price per barrel falling to $32.40 as from 19th December 2008. 2008 showed one thing and that was that oil had been through one big roller coaster of a ride.But it’s an opportunity for those in the know – the speculative investor – to make significant gains from trading, or of course to have made big losses.
Whilst media interest has waned in recent months to focus market attention on the demise of the banking sector, Oil has been making a spectacular recovery from the $32 December lows to hit $70 in recent weeks, the industry experts are now calling for $85 dollars a barrel whilst others suggest a short term correction may be in order. Whatever the future may throw at it, the oil trader and speculator has the opportunity to profit from such moves if their opinion on the direction proves to be correct.
For the retail investor gaining exposure to either NYMEX Crude or BRENT Crude at first may not seem that straight forward, whilst the opportunity to trade Oil Company stocks or purchase Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) (which can provide exposure to oil prices) has traditionally been the only obvious route through your online stockbroker, Financial spreadbetting and Contracts for Difference (CFD) trading makes accessing these commodity markets relatively straightforward. Investors can then take either long or short positions via the spread bet or CFD and trade the fluctuations in price in this and many other markets. Spread Betting firms and CFD trading providers also provide a wide range of market information, charting resources and trading technology which gives the retail investor access to a wide range of information. Some will even provide real time market information for relevant trading data such as the weekly Crude Oil Inventories Update.
Once a week, every week the Energy Information Administration (EIA) releases a small glimpse into what the demand for oil is likely to be in the future by usuing its Crude Oil Inventory numbers. Traders will take a look at this information because the amount of oil that commerical firms have within their inventory in turn impacts the price of oil in predictable way when taken into account with other factors in determining the future oil prices.
The Crude Oil Inventories number reports the number of barrels of crude oil commercial firms have in inventory. Although commercial firms will report their inventory levels to the EIA on a weekly basis the EIA must still make some estimates to arrive at the final number.
One of the other organisations that has a significant impact on the price of oil is OPEC- the Organisation for Petroleum Exporting Countries.The OPEC is a group of twelve different countries made up of Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. The cartel is headquartered in Vienna and hosts regular meetings among the oil ministers of its many different Member Countries.
According to its statutes, one of the principal goals is the determination of the best means for safeguarding the cartel’s interests, individually and collectively. On top of this it also pursues different ways of ensuring the stabilisation of the prices in international oil markets, with the view of exterminating harmful and unnecesary fluctuations; at the same time giving regard at all times to the interests of the nations producing and to the necessity of securing a steady income to the producing countries; an efficient and regular supply of petroleum to consuming nations, and of course a fair return on their capital to those investing within the peroleum industry itself.
OPEC issues a Monthly Oil Market Report and various other bulletins which again impact market pricing and are keenly awaited by oil traders globally.
Whilst trading oil may seem the preserve of an elite group of traders in London, Chicago or elsewhere in the globe, the price of petrol or gasoline has and always will directly impact everyone in the developed world. It impacts the cost of transporting goods and services to every area of the globe and as we saw in 2008, this can have a negative impact both on the price we pay for personal transportation at the pump, but also the cost of basic food and services we rely on in our day to day lives. While we sat back and saw very little pull back in pump prices during the past 6 months these same experts predict a return to higher pump prices in the not too distant future which could impact us all.
Some have therefore turned to spread betting and CFDs to hedge their exposure to rising fuel costs by placing medium to longer term trades which pay out if oil prices rise across the globe. This approach can also be made relevant for small as well as medium sized businesses exposed to the oil price moves- from hauliers, farmers and fisherman to practically any business that can be impacted by rising fuel costs. The large businesses have done this for many years, airlines hedging fuel costs to ensure any unexpected sharp rises in crude do not impact their budgetary plans in any fiscal year. In 2008 many haulier firms folded due to the rising cost of fuel but also due to fuel taxes in the UK remaining high – approximately 61% of the cost paid at the pump is tax revenue for the UK government, European haulier firms subject to lower fuel taxation were able to generate a significant competitive advantage against the UK haulage business at this time who were left unable to pass the full cost of rising fuel onto their customers.
Beyond hedging, spread betting and CFDs also allow investors the opportunity to trade on oil companies’ stock prices – from the Exxons, Shells and BPs of this world to the smaller exploration outfits, drilling as Getty did over half a century ago for that next 20,000-barrels-a-day oilfield and the opportunity to make serious money.
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Swing Trading and Stock sell Investing Tips
Sep0
What is Swing Trading and is it Right for You?
There are out of the ordinary types of trading or speculation strategies that inhabit next when trading stocks and shares. Day trading, long-term investing and swing trading.
Day trading as the name implies is trading over the interval of a day and dying all your positions more willingly than the stock souk closes. lasting investing is enchanting a arrange that lasts a few years a la Warren Buffett.
Swing trading involves trading in stocks for short phase of time, frequently a few days, in order to take benefit of a swing in the penalty valuable swing trading involves identifying an uptrend or a downtrend in a stock assess In an uptrend the highs are superior and the lows are top too. Swing traders look for conventional patterns in order to prophesy when a stock price will stop declining turn about and start riot another time.
Swing trading is all based on conniving the risks aligned with the booty – if the risk is too next of kin to any ability booty then there is no point in the occupation There are a figure of criteria that must be met by a trade is placed.
Stocksare usually trading privileged than $10 with a daily degree of more than 500K shares, as such stocks are less responsible to be manipulated. To set apart a stock which is in an uptrend the concluding price must be above the generation poignant arithmetic mean and the daylight unfussy tender be around and the sunlight hours pitiful mean needs to be above the era poignant be an average of.
There are a quantity of points to take into substance when swing trading to limit your risks. Don’t invest all your money in one go. If a stock gaps up 1 to 2%, then buy half the sum you anticipate trading. Wait to see if the price continues to rise or investing more wealth If the stock gaps up 2 to 3% then only spend 1/4 of the total quantity you anticipate trading.
If the share gaps up more than 3% then don’t upset with the trade as the risk/reward ratio is not good a sufficient amount The aim when swing trading is to achieve a use of 5 to 10 % if you accomplish this (or if the trade turns adjacent to you and you start behind riches then close the trade and look for an extra break.
Stop dead each one makes victims the trick is to make sure your victims are minor than your gains. To guarantee this you need to set stop wounded when you place your exchange such that if the trade goes wrong the put will be automatically stopped up out. Given that in swing trading the profit intent is in the territory of 7% your stop loss be supposed to be set at going on 4%.
For more information on stock market investing or stock market investing advice, be sure to read more at “stock market for beginners“.
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The Currency Market with IvyBot: Divergence Trading
Sep0
Divergence trading is one type of trading in the forex market. Divergence essentially means a price action measured in relationship to an oscillator indicator.The sort of oscillator used does not really matter, and some types that might be used in IvyBot include Stochastic, RSI, CCI, MACD, or others. Divergences can be employed as a leading indicator, and after you have some practice with divergences it becomes easy to spot changes. When divergences are traded correctly, there can be consistent profits to the trade. Divergences are often purchased close to the bottom and sold near the top, and this means less risk and better potential for money.
The key idea for divergence traders is higher highs and lower lows. If the price of the trade is making highs then the oscillator should be making higher highs, and if the price is making lower lows then the oscillator should also be making lower lows. If they are not this means that the oscillator and the price are diverging from each other. This is where the term divergence trading comes from. There are 2 basic types of divergence, and these are regular and concealed. A regular divergence is in general used as a possible sign a trend reversal could happen. A concealed divergence is a possible sign for a trend continuation.
Divergences can act as an early warning that will alert IvyBot of the incontrovertible fact that the market could reverse. Divergence should be used as one indicator, and no trade should be based solely on divergence in the foreign exchange market. Divergences can give off fake signals, so it is only 1 piece of info to be considered among many others. Divergences should be one of the many tools employed by foreign exchange traders, and no tool utilised by traders is totally foolproof. Divergences aren’t too common, so when they do appear you must pay close attention.
Regular divergences can help a forex trader make a big profit because they can step into the trade right when a trend changes. Hidden divergences can help a currency exchange trader make more profit by staying in the trade longer and being on the right side of the trend. It is very important to learn how to spot the divergences when they happen, and learn to figure out how to read the direction the trend will go. Divergence trading on the forex market can greatly maximize the profits and return on investment while minimizing the risks of a loss on the market.
References: IvyBot Review
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The Currency Market with IvyBot: Divergence Trading
Sep0
Divergence trading is one sort of trading in the currency market. Divergence essentially means a price action measured in relationship to an oscillator indicator.The type of oscillator used doesn’t actually count, and some types that could be used in IvyBot include Stochastic, RSI, CCI, MACD, or others. Divergences can be employed as a leading indicator, and after you have some practice with divergences it becomes easy to identify changes. When divergences are traded correctly, there can be consistent profits to the trade. Divergences are usually bought close to the bottom and sold near the top, and this means less risk and better potential for profit .
The motto for divergence traders is higher highs and lower lows. If the price of the trade is making highs then the oscillator should be making higher highs, and if the price is making lower lows then the oscillator should also be making lower lows. If they are not this suggests that the oscillator and the price are diverging from each other. This is where term divergence trading originates from. There are two basic types of divergence, and these are regular and hidden. A regular divergence is normally used as a possible sign a trend reversal could occur. A concealed divergence is a possible sign for a trend continuation.
Divergences can act as an alert which will alert IvyBot of the indisputable fact that the market could reverse. Divergence should be used as one indicator, and no trade should be based solely on divergence in the currency market. Divergences can give off fake signals, so it is just one piece of information to be considered among many others. Divergences should be one of the many tools utilized by currency exchange traders, and no tool utilised by traders is absolutely surefire. Divergences aren’t too common, so when they do appear you should pay very close attention.
Regular divergences can help a foreign exchange trader make a massive profit because they can step into the trade right when a trend changes. Concealed divergences can help a currency exchange trader make more profit by staying in the trade longer and being on the right side of the trend. It is critical to find out how to spot the divergences when they happen, and learn to figure out how to read the direction the trend will go. Divergence trading on the foreign exchange market can greatly maximize the profits and investment return while minimizing the risks of a loss on the market.
Read more: IvyBot
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