August 31, 2008

Aussie Stock Forums - Hedge Funds

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:08 am

Hedge Funds and short selling.

I understand that Hedge Funds involves large pools of money that are injected into the markets for investment purposes. And, that most likely, Hedge Funds’ managers use short selling.

Correct me if i’m wrong??

My query is in relation to Hedge Funds and their influence on the market.

For eg., the latest MQG sell off:

It was obvious early last week that MQG shares were being sold off at an alarming rate. Many of the sell orders were quite large, and constant, which makes me think lots of short selling was taking place.

I wonder what will happen when the short sellers close their positions?

I wonder what happens to any stock that is targetted by short sellers, when the shorts close their positions?

I would assume that once the short sellers close their positions, the stock is left with a deficit of ‘long’ holders, as the borrowed stock is then returned to the broker?

For example, if a stock is sold down at $46.00 and reaches a low of $40.00, before bouncing back, one would assume that the short sellers will close their positions before the price reaches $46.00 again. This makes me think that the stock may reach up to $46.00, but with poor support (lack of long holders). What this equates to is a weak ‘bounce’ price, due to the lack of long holders.

I surmise that in order for a stock to stay at, or rally above, it’s bounce ‘recovery’ price (in the eg. above, this would be $46.00), a whole lot of new confidence and interest from buyers (people wanting to go long) would need to occur.

I guess what i’m trying to say, in sum, is that once a stock has been attacked by short sellers and they close out their positions, the new price may be on shaky ground due to a lack of long holders.

Am i thinking along the right lines?

Disclaimer: i am only using MQG as an example to illustrate a point.

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August 30, 2008

Aussie Stock Forums - CBR 900 RR

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

Hi,

I was looking at some bikes and found this one. It’s a 99 model with 4000 k’s on it, which basically makes it new, just old in years.

The guy is asking $8300 for it. It’s got a stock pipe on it.

If there are any riders here, is this a bit high to be asking for a 9 year old bike, even with k’s so low? Just wondering what a fair price would be on this, because I can’t stop thinking about it. To buy or not to buy. Thanks.

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The Kirk Report - Ups & Downs

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

Although we had a number of ups and downs, we basically ended up where we started out the week. Over the past five days, only the Russell 2000 managed to close higher with a +0.26% return while the Nasdaq lost…
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August 29, 2008

Aussie Stock Forums - America in recession?

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

What the hell are we supposed to believe? It is alleged that America is in recession and there is doubt in the market and in fact in world economics and there is an obvious downturn in share prices. Now on the ABC news it appears America is far from a recession and things aren’t as bad as they seem. Any comments?

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Investing With Harvey - Market Close for Thursday, August 28, 2008

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

^DJI
 
11715.18
 
+212.67 (+1.85%)

^IXIC
 
2411.64
 
+29.18 (+1.22%)

^GSPC
 
1300.68
 
+19.02 (+1.48%)

^NDX
 
1915.12
 
+14.82 (+0.78%)

^OEX
 
599.84
 
+9.29 (+1.57%)

^SML
 
391.31
 
+6.50 (+1.69%)

^QNET
 
127.20
 
+2.05 (+1.64%)

^VXO
 
20.68
 
-1.00 (-4.61%)

^VIX
 
19.43
 
-0.33 (-1.67%)

^VXN
 
23.15
 
-0.19 (-0.81%)

PVADX
 
30.02
 
+0.45 (+1.52%)

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The Kirk Report - Window Dressing?

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:05 am

With big gains in both the financials and homebuilders (see XLF & XHB), the market enjoyed another nice day. In just two days, we've traded from the bottom to the very top of this multi-day trading range leaving the S&P…
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August 28, 2008

Aussie Stock Forums - Should the GST be raised?

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

Should the GST be raised and managed by the RBA similar to IR… the only reason i suggest this is surely a tax that will curb EVERYONES spending ie GST will surely slow down inflation pressures better then affecting just those people with a mortgage through lowering and raising IR… i know IR has flow on effects but still worth a discussion i think..

thoughts?

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Investing With Harvey - Market Close for Wednesday, August 27, 2008

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

^DJI
 
11502.51
 
+89.64 (+0.79%)

^IXIC
 
2382.46
 
+20.49 (+0.87%)

^GSPC
 
1281.66
 
+10.15 (+0.80%)

^NDX
 
1900.30
 
+13.98 (+0.74%)

^OEX
 
590.55
 
+4.05 (+0.69%)

^SML
 
384.81
 
0.00 (+0.00%)

^QNET
 
125.15
 
+1.39 (+1.12%)

^VXO
 
21.68
 
0.00 (+0.00%)

^VIX
 
19.76
 
0.00 (+0.00%)

^VXN
 
23.34
 
0.00 (+0.00%)

PVADX
 
29.57
 
+0.37 (+1.27%)

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The Kirk Report - Another Inconsequential Day

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:06 am

The positive bias following this morning's durable goods report carried over to the regular trading session providing for a positive day for the market. Trading volume was still very low although relatively higher at the Nasdaq. Ultimately, it was another…
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Trader Mike - Watchlist for August 27, 2008

General | Comments (0) admin @ 11:05 am

I can’t take it anymore — this week is like watching paint dry. I’m taking the rest of the week off. Look for regular posting to resume after Labor Day.

On Today’s Calendar:

10:35 — Crude Inventories

More Calendars: U.S. Earnings | Conf. Calls | Surprises | IPO | Economic

Potential swing trades:

See one of the recent ‘Chart Reading‘ posts for some potential swing candidates. Also be sure to check my typical swing trade entry & exit rules.

Potential day trades:

(From Briefing.com)

Gapping Down

In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: JCG -9.2% (also downgraded to Hold at Brean Murray), SOLF -8.6% (also signs letter of intent for three year supply agreement with Q-Cells), SOLR -7.6% DDS -2.6% (light volume)… Select airlines trading lower with crude higher: LCC -7.4%, UAUA -6.7%, AMR -4.9% (also downgraded to Sell at Citigroup), CAL -3.6%, DAL -2.8%, JBLU -1.5%… Select solar names trading lower following disappointing earnings from SOLR and SOLF: SOL -2.2%, YGE -2.0%, STP -1.9%, CSUN -1.2%… Other news: CEGE -69.6% (halts VITAL-2 GVAX trial in advanced prostate cancer), NEXM -53.7% (announces decision not to submit a new drug application for NM100060), AMLN -11.2% (Amylin Pharmaceuticals and Eli Lilly provide context for FDA alert for BYETTA; also downgraded to Sell at Soleil), DNDN -7.1% (down in sympathy with CEGE who halted cancer drug trial; DNDN also has ongoing cancer drug trial), BMY -1.5% (Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb reported that an early evaluation of results from a Phase III study of apixaban did not meet primary endpoints), GS -1.2% (third quarter ests cut by Morgan Stanley- Bloomberg), LLY -1.1% (Amylin Pharmaceuticals and Eli Lilly provide context for FDA alert for BYETTA)… Analyst comments: SQNM -2.8% (initiated with Below Average at Caris; tgt also raised at Lazard).

Gapping Up

In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: APSG +9.6%, CHL +2.6%, PTR +1.4% (light volume)… M&A news: IKN +9.3% (agrees to be acquired by Ricoh for $17.25/share in cash)… Select mortgage/financial names showing modest strength: FRE +10.3% (S&P affirms Freddie Mac Sr. Debt Rating, others on creditwatch, lowered; also Bloomberg reports that Fannie, Freddie mortgage profit reaches 10-year high), FNM +8.2% (Bloomberg.com reports that Fannie, Freddie mortgage profit reaches 10-year high), MTG +3.5%, MER +1.5% (Bloomberg.com reports that Temasek has ‘great confidence’ in Merrill’s CEO Thain and plans to raise its stake — this follows positive comments from Temasek yesterday as well), LEH +1.4% (Private equity groups in running for Lehman unit - Financial Times), PMI +1.1% (light volume, claims-paying resources unaffected by S&P’s actions)… Select oil/gas names showing strength with crude higher: ROYL +8.2%, PDO +4.1%, HK +3.5%, BP +1.6%, RDS.A +1.0%… Other news: ACH +4.6% and LFC +2.8% (trading higher following strength in overseas trading), ALU +4.2% (rises for second day on speculation Quigley to be CEO - Bloomberg.com), WEL +3.5% (CFO bought 50K shares at $2.87-2.91 on 8/26), MNRO +1.0% (Cramer makes positive comments on MadMoney).

Disclaimer & How I use this list

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Note: These alerts refresh/update automatically every 30 seconds

Post from: Trader Mike’s Blog

Watchlist for August 27, 2008

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